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☆ A port-in-the-storm trade if the consumer continues to get pinched by rates and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-09 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The consumer, making up 70% of the U.S. economy, is being hit by higher interest rates and sticky inflation. Consumer spending, also known as personal consumption expenditures (PCE), typically represents about two-thirds of the U.S. GDP. While that is attributed to easing consumer demand for EVs, dealer inventories of ICE vehicles have recovered significantly since the pandemic. Away from consumer discretionary and towards consumer staples. The Consumer Staples Select Sector ETF (XLP) is trading 21 times trailing earnings and about 19.6 times forward earnings estimates versus 25.7 times trailing and 22.83 times forward for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index.

Persons: there's, Tesla, Power Organizations: Starbucks, Investors, PPI, CPI, Federal Locations: U.S

☆ These ETFs promise investors downside protection — at a cost
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Investors looking for protection against market downside are turning toward buffer exchange-traded funds, also known as defined-outcome ETFs. Buffer ETFs have exploded in popularity in recent years, although they are still a small slice over the overall industry. How buffer ETFs work Managers use a set of equity options when building a fund. Recently, Calamos announced a new product line of 12 ETFs that offers 100% downside protection. The first in the line, Calamos S & P 500 Structured Alt Protection ETF (CPSM) , began trading May 1.

Persons: Lan Anh Tran, Morningstar, Tran, Todd Sohn, Strategas, Sohn, Calamos, Russell, Matt Kaufman, Kaufman, Morningstar's Tran, HELO 1Y, It's Organizations: Morningstar, Strategas Securities, Capital Management, Equity, PGIM, Allianz, BlackRock, Treasury, Trust, JPMorgan Hedged Equity, JPMorgan Locations: BlackRock

☆ Bank stocks seem poised for a breakout, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-08 | by ( Frank Cappelleri | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Bank stocks have been in comeback mode since making a key low post the regional bank crisis in 2023. A new breakout could be on the horizon, according to the charts. Two of the most popular bank ETFs are the SPDR S & P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) and the SPDR S & P Bank ETF (KBE) . Both are lagging the S & P 500 in 2024, which is +8.2% YTD. The bottom line is that both KRE and KBE have been forming bullish patterns, and we could see breakout attempts soon.

Persons: KRE, it's, Frank Cappelleri Organizations: JPMorgan, Regional Banking, P Bank ETF

☆ Will China's comeback stock rally last? Wall Street weighs in and shares stock picks
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

China stocks have staged such a strong rally after a protracted slump for the past few years that they're beating even the S & P 500 so far this year. The MSCI China index, which includes the mainland A-shares, Hong Kong-listed shares and U.S.-listed China names, has jumped around 9%, while the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF is up around 13%. Most analysts said whether the rally can be sustained will largely depend on China policy. How to play China Though most were bullish on China stocks, they would be selective in stock-picking. They include: SPDR S & P China ETF iShares MSCI China A ETF Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF — CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

Persons: Bernstein, it's, —, Goldman Sachs, Kevin Liu, CICC, Nomura's, Goldman, Kweichow, Ping, Morningstar, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S, CSI China, Investors, CICC Research, CNBC, BYD, SAIC, Changan Automobile, Energy, Anhui, Cement, JPMorgan, Kuaishou, Ping An Insurance, China Merchants Bank, Hong, China, iShares, China Consumer Locations: China, Hong Kong

☆ JPMorgan says the market is about to get tricky, buy utilities and staples stocks starting to outperform
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Strategist Mislav Matejka said equities are coming up against a seasonally weak period and advised investors buy traditionally defensive stocks such as utilities and staples. "The latest market move to a more Defensive trading should have legs, such as recent outperformance of Utilities and Staples." "We continue to believe that will happen irrespective of bond yields direction from here, alongside a more positive performance of commodity sectors - Energy and Mining," he said. XLU 1M mountain Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Utilities have outperformed quarter to date, while most other sectors have shown weakness. The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) advanced 4.7% this quarter, making it top performing sector in the S & P 500.

Persons: Mislav Matejka Organizations: JPMorgan, Stocks, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Utilities, Staples, Energy, Mining, NRG Energy, NextEra Energy, Communication

☆ This sector ETF that won big in April is set to outperform again after a pause, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: XLU, Katie Stockton Organizations: Utilities, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ Three things investors probably don’t know, but should
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-06 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +10 min

Arone spoke with Before the Bell to outline three things about markets right now “that investors should know, but probably don’t.”1. You write that investors might be surprised to hear that small- and mid-cap stocks have outperformed large-cap stocks over the past five months. Why do you think that’s surprising, and what does it say about markets? Most investors think that the S&P 500 has been outperforming everything else, largely dragged up by the performance of the Magnificent 7 (Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, Meta, Apple, Microsoft and Nvidia). The big beneficiaries of that, I think, would be a surprise for most investors — those mid-cap stocks and small-cap stocks.

Persons: ”, Michael Arone, Arone, That’s, that’s, Jerome Powell, I’m, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Charlie Munger, Buffett, Greg Abel, Ajit Jain, Munger’s, Read, Parija Kavilanz Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, Federal Reserve, Bell, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Treasury, Fed, Berkshire Hathaway, Oracle, Ikea Locations: New York, Berkshire, Woodstock, Nebraska, Omaha

☆ A 26-year-old stock trader who made over $10.5 million in 4 years shares the strategy adjustment he made in 2024 that has allowed him to remain profitable
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-04 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

In 2017, at 19 years old, Jack Kellogg became interested in stock trading. AdvertisementIn 2023, he took advantage of the AI hype by trading stocks within that theme. He then reviews these stocks' price movements over the previous three to two weeks. Where it's set depends on how much he's willing to risk on each position and varies based on the stock's price movements. While he's agnostic about the stock's cap size, he favors swing trading mid and sometimes small-cap stocks.

Persons: Jack Kellogg, Timothy Sykes, Kellogg, Kellogg wasn't Organizations: Business, BI, Trust, Nvidia, CXApp Inc

☆ An options trade that wins if stocks continue to struggle into May
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-30 | by ( Nishant Pant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Note that the last time, the 10-day moving average crossed above the 21-day moving average was back in late October/early November when the markets were just beginning a new bull run. Based on this thesis I want to make a bearish bet on DIA using a trade structure called a bear put spread. The Trade: DIA is a highly liquid ETF and if you look at its option chain, you will notice that it offers $1 wide strikes. DIA YTD mountain SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust YTD Amazon and Apple report earnings this week. These are all significant market moving events and so a solid risk management plan needs to be in place for any trades taken this week.

Persons: Dow Jones Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones, Trade, DIA, Apple

☆ Dividend stocks are poised to outperform, says Bank of America. Here are names on its list
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. economy is flashing a sign that's favorable for dividend stocks, according to Bank of America. In this environment, investors want to own dividend stocks with above-market yields, she said. For those characteristics, she looks to quintile two of the Russell 1000 by trailing dividend yield. Her screen guards against owning distressed companies that might move into the first quintile, the highest dividend yield group, if prices fall ahead of potential dividend cuts. APA has a 3.1% dividend yield, while HF Sinclair yields 3.5%.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Russell, Jeffrey Martin, CNBC's Jim Cramer, John Christmann Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of, AES, APA, Sinclair, Callon Petroleum, CNBC, Citigroup, Citi Locations: U.S

☆ Beware of a dead-cat bounce and prepare for a severe market correction by making these 6 investments now, a veteran chartmaster warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The S&P 500 is in its most perilous position since late last summer, cautioned David Keller, the chief market strategist at StockCharts.com. After an uptick in volatility in March 2023, the S&P 500 enjoyed a virtually uninterrupted rally before peaking on the final day of July. Related storiesIn the meantime, investors should keep a close eye on two key technical support levels for the S&P 500, Keller said: 5,050 and 4,820. Utilities are one of only two parts of the market that's up in the last month, due to its risk-off nature. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is another compelling way to ride that rally, Keller said.

Persons: —, David Keller, I'm, Keller, Stocks, StockCharts.com, they're, Keller isn't, that's Organizations: Service, Business, Utilities, StockCharts.com, VanEck Oil Services, P Oil & Gas Exploration, Production, Miners Locations: East, Israel, Freeport

☆ This fund that lets retail traders invest in SpaceX and OpenAI is trading at a massive premium
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

DXYZ 1M mountain The Destiny Tech 100 fund has seen big swings and is trading well above its net asset value. "It's common for them to not trade exactly at their NAV, but trading at a premium is very strange. Robinhood confusion The popularity of the new fund appears to have caused some confusion on retail brokerage app Robinhood . According to Prasad, the Destiny fund was previously available for trading on brokerage Robinhood, but they started seeing complaints last week that things had changed. "Our focus is not on the premium," but in building out the fund, Prasad said.

Persons: Jack Shannon, Shannon, Chelsea Childs, Sohail Prasad, Prasad, Robinhood, Chelsea, Destiny Organizations: SpaceX, New York Stock Exchange, Tech, Morningstar, Gray, CNBC, Trust

☆ A low-cost way to protect against further market declines and position for an eventual comeback
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Jeff Kilburg | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

I want to protect further downside in the broader U.S. equity market despite the fact that S & P 500 has had an acute drop of more than 5% off its recent 2024 highs. I do believe that we are still in a bull market, but the headwinds are strong in the current market conditions. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 YTD Lastly, markets are contending with corporate earnings season. Per my friends at Factset, the S & P 500's valuation on a forward 12-month P/E ratio is 20.6. DISCLOSURES: (Long this spread) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .

Persons: Raphael Bostic Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Big Tech, Trust Locations: Israel, Iran, Factset

☆ The biggest money managers are flocking to gold as inflation fears intensify
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Gold futures settled at a record high above $2,400 an ounce this week. The precious metal is coming off its third straight week of gains. Gold is often used as an inflation hedge because of its limited supply. @GC.1 YTD mountain Gold Professional speculators' net-long positions in gold futures and options hovered near the highest level since 2020 as of April 9, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's latest data. The hedge fund star revealed that not only did he own the popular SPDR Gold Trust fund (GLD), but he also bought physical bars.

Persons: James Steel, David Neuhauser, Neuhauser, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn Organizations: Citi, Investors, HSBC Securities, Gold, Commodity, Livermore Partners, CNBC, Trust, Deutsche Bank Locations: Northbrook , Illinois

☆ US regional banks are still under pressure. That’s likely to continue
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

New York CNN —Despite overcoming a crisis in 2023, the pain isn’t over for America’s regional banks. Shares of New York Community Bank have tumbled 71%, Bank OZK shares have slid 16% and Webster Financial shares have lost 11%. Regional banks reported wide losses on their profits during the first quarter. PNC projects that its net interest income will fall between 4% to 5% in 2024 from last year. “I’m worried about a handful of [regional banks],” Bair told CNBC on Tuesday.

Persons: that’s, Jerome Powell, “, ” Powell, Sheila Bair, “ I’m, ” Bair, ” Tesla, Tesla, Elon Musk, Chris Isidore, Musk, Chancellor Kathaleen McCormick, Read, Samantha Delouya, —, Maximilian Kotz, Leonie Wenz, Noah Diffenbaugh Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Regional Banking, New York Community Bank, Bank OZK, Webster Financial, PNC Financial, T Bank, US Bancorp, Citizens, PNC, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First Republic Bank, Federal Reserve, Wilson Center, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, CNBC, Tesla, Securities and Exchange Commission, United Nations, Potsdam, Climate, CNN, Stanford University Locations: New York, Delaware, ” Delaware

CNBC Pro screened for stocks that are already trending downward to determine which stocks might fall further. According to analysts' consensus price targets, these stocks have an estimated downside of 5% or more, and all have a market capitalization of at least $2 billion. Here are the stocks that are already in a correction and still disliked on Wall Street. Shares have slumped 21.5% since May 2023 and — based on analysts' consensus price target — are estimated to decline another 29.1%. Other stocks already in a correction and vulnerable to additional declines include Palantir Technologies , Dillard's , MGE Energy , GameStop and Advance Auto Parts .

Persons: CNBC's David Faber Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, CNBC Pro, Bank of, FactSet, Fed, Silicon Valley Bank, Regional Banking ETF, CBS, Paramount Global, Skydance Media, Paramount, Palantir Technologies, MGE Energy, GameStop, Advance Locations: Bank of Hawaii, Silicon, Bank

☆ Regional bank earnings may expose critical weaknesses, former FDIC Chair Sheila Bair warns
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Stephanie Landsman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Regional bank earnings may expose critical weaknesses, according to Sheila Bair, former chair of the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.Their quarterly numbers begin hitting Wall Street this week. Bair, who ran the FDIC during the 2008 financial crisis, is nervous that regional bank issues from 2023 aren't fully resolved. "This is still a problem for the regional banks, and fingers crossed that there's [not] another failure. The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) is down almost 13%, and only four of its members are positive for 2024. Her latest regional bank warning comes as the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield topped 4.6% this week and hit its highest level since November 2023.

Persons: Sheila Bair, I'm, Bair, CNBC's, aren't, We're Organizations: U.S . Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, P Regional Bank ETF, New York Community Bancorp, Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp, Kearny Financial, Columbia Banking, National Bancorp Locations: New York

☆ Regional banks will dominate rest of earnings season this week. Here's what analysts expect
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"What we've seen is deposit pressures escalate more than previously anticipated," said Alexander Yokum, analyst at CFRA Research, who has a neutral view on regional banks. "A lot of these regional banks, they have less deposits, so if they lose deposits, it can really impact their operating results," Yokum said. "So, higher for longer, I think for a lot of regional banks, would be negative." Here's what Wall Street analysts expect from regional banks this season. Other regional banks reporting this week include Fifth Third Bancorp .

Persons: Alexander Yokum, Yokum, Goldman Sachs, Ryan M, Nash, America's Ebrahim H, Poonawala, CFRA's Yokum, Citi's Keith Horowitz, " Horowitz, Huntington Bancshares Huntington Bancshares Organizations: Regional Banking, U.S . Bancorp, New York Community, CFRA Research, JPMorgan Chase, T Bank, PNC, " Bank, America's, U.S . Bancorp U.S . Bancorp, U.S . Bank, Bank of America, Huntington, Comerica KeyCorp, Comerica, Fifth Third Bancorp Locations: U.S, New, Ohio

☆ British investment bank says buy defense stocks, brace for $100 oil and 10% stock market correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Oil prices were slightly lower Monday as Israel, aided by the U.S., fended off Iran's aerial barrage. The investment bank believes aerospace and defense stocks could outperform in the short run in light of growing geopolitical risks. The biggest ETF in the industry is the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) , with about $5 billion in assets under management. Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF (PPA ) and SPDR S & P Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) are two other popular offerings. To be sure, Liberum thinks the stock market could quickly reverse any losses as soon as the tensions in the Middle East ease.

Persons: Israel retaliating, Liberum, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Liberum, U.S ., Federal Reserve, West Texas Intermediate, May, U.S . Aerospace & Defense ETF, ITA, Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF, P Aerospace & Defense ETF Locations: Iran, Israel, Damascus, Syria, U.S

☆ Stocks are undergoing a needed, and (so far) modest, pullback in a longer-term bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-13 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The result was a 1.5-percent weekly drop in the S & P 500 , with Friday's setback exacerbated at least somewhat by a collective clenching-up of risk markets on some geopolitical worry. This dynamic hasn't been reversed, but the signal has grown a bit staticky, draining some conviction from the macro bullish case with the S & P 500 still 24% above the October low. Bull market's backdrop First, it's a bull market, and not a particularly mature or excessively generous one yet. Yet both stocks are still outperforming the S & P this year. The S & P 500 closed Friday at exactly the same level of five weeks earlier, on March 8 – which was perhaps the moment of maximum investor confidence in the "we can have it all" thesis.

Persons: I've, Jerome Powell, Powell, Wall, it's, We're, John Butters, Fastenal, Scott Chronert Organizations: Federal, ICE, Treasury, CPI, Fed, Grainger, Citi

☆ As bank earnings come out, here are the red flags to watch out for this season
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

For example, we now have a higher interest rate environment that will add more pressure on deposit costs. There is anticipation of more builds for reserves, particularly for commercial real estate, but also possibly for credit cards. The commercial real estate problem is the main issue. "Anything that's levered like commercial real estate, it's a different world," Tom Michaud, CEO of Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, said in a recent interview on FactSet. "I expect more commercial real estate losses in every category, the question is whether it is going to be cataclysmic or is it going to be manageable."

Persons: Financials, Banks, Morgan Stanley, Wells, Wells Fargo, it's, Tom Michaud, Keefe, Woods Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Bank of America, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, First Republic, Regional Bank ETF, Bank, Allstate, Travelers Locations: Wells Fargo, Treasurys, Hartford

☆ Regional banks are struggling. Here's why and how to profit from the trend with options
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Michael Khouw | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Regional banks are taking hits this week and investors are increasing their bearish bets on the sector. Higher rates impact Higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing money. Higher interest rates can also reduce demand for loans, as borrowing becomes more expensive for consumers and businesses. This can deteriorate the asset quality of regional banks, increasing the need for loan loss provisions, which are expenses set aside to cover potential loan losses. Rising interest rates and inflation can pressure banks' capital adequacy ratios, a measure of a bank's capital relative to its risks.

Persons: Banks Organizations: Regional Banking, Banks

☆ Physical gold offers more protection than mining stocks, says State Street’s George Milling-Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Josephine Rozzelle | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Investors looking to weather a volatile market may want to opt for physical gold over gold stocks. That's according to George Milling-Stanley, one of the world's experts in gold and the chief gold strategist at State Street Global Advisors. "One of the reasons I own gold bar(s) is that I believe it offers me some protection against potential weakness in the equity market," Milling-Stanley told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "When the equity market goes down, gold mining stocks remember that they're equities, and they tend to go down with the general level of the equity market. Milling-Stanley's firm runs two exchange-traded funds that track the performance of the spot price of gold: the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) and SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (GLDM).

Persons: George Milling, Stanley, CNBC's, they're, GLDM, — Organizations: State Street Global Advisors, MiniShares, Milling

☆ Here’s where BlackRock sees investment opportunities as demographics shift and the population ages
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Aging population plays In developed markets with aging populations , health-care needs will rise, creating an investment opportunity in the sector, Li said. "The relative outperformance of the health-care sector is to be expected in the context of an aging population," Li said. It tracks the health-care sector of the S & P 500 . "An economy-wide, sustained productivity boom is very hard to achieve, especially in the context of the supply constraint coming from, among other things, demographic shortage, aging population," Li said. "If India is able to bring more people into the working population, especially women, that will significantly boost its growth trajectory," she said.

Persons: Wei Li, dwindles, BlackRock, Li, It's, it's Organizations: BlackRock, World Health Organization, United Nations, Healthcare, Bank Locations: BlackRock, Japan, U.S, Indonesia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, India, China

☆ Hedge funds are selling stocks at the fastest pace in three months and stepping up short bets
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-09 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Hedge funds are dumping stocks at the fastest pace in three months as what's often called " the smart money " stepped up bearish wagers against equities amid the recent pullback. The professionals sold global stocks on a net basis for a second straight week last week, driven almost entirely by short sales, according to Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage data. It marked the biggest selling week for hedge funds since mid-January, the data showed. Its hedge fund clients sold stocks for a fifth consecutive week last week, exiting shares across small-, mid- and large-cap companies. The S & P 500 declined nearly 1%, its biggest weekly loss since early January, although the equity benchmark is still only 1.7% below its record high.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Bahnsen, Goldman, Jean Boivin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of, Dow, Bahnsen Group, P Retail, Traders, Fed, BlackRock Investment Institute Locations: U.S

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